The Economist: War in Ukraine Will Cripple Global Food Markets (1)

经济学人：俄乌危机引发全球的粮食恐慌。让北京翻译公司北京金橄榄外文翻译有限公司与您一起看看以下内容：

Finance & economics

财经板块

Agricultural commodities: grain storm

农业商品：粮食风暴

War in Ukraine will cripple global food markets

乌克兰的战争将使全球食品市场瘫痪

In october 1914 the Ottoman Empire, having just joined the first world war, blockaded the Dardanelles Strait,

1914年10月，刚刚加入第一次世界大战的奥斯曼帝国封锁了达达尼尔海峡，

the only route for Russian wheat to travel to Britain and France.

这是俄罗斯小麦运往英国和法国的唯一通道。

The world had entered the conflict with wheat stocks 12% above the five-year average,

世界进入了这场冲突，全球小麦库存比5年平均水平高出12%，

but losing over 20% of the global traded supply of the crop overnight set food markets ablaze.

但一夜之间，全球交易的小麦供应减少了20%，粮食市场一片混乱。

Having risen by a fifth since June 1914, wheat prices in Chicago, the international benchmark, leapt by another 45% over the following quarter.

自1914年6月以来，芝加哥的国际基准小麦价格上涨了五分之一，在接下来的一个季度里又上涨了45%。

Today Russia and Ukraine, respectively the largest and fifth-largest wheat exporters, together account for 29% of international annual sales.

今天，俄罗斯和乌克兰分别是世界上最大和第五大小麦出口国，两国小麦年销售额加在一起占国际小麦年销售额的29%。

And after several poor harvests, frantic buying during the pandemic and supply-chain issues since, global stocks are 31% below the five-year average.

在经历了几次歉收、疫情期间的疯狂抢购以及之后的供应链问题之后，全球小麦库存比五年平均水平低31%。

But this time it is the threat of embargoes from the West that has lit a bonfire—and the flames are higher than even during the Great War.

但这一次，来自西方的禁运威胁点燃了篝火——而且火焰甚至比一战期间还要高。

Wheat prices, which were already 49% above their 2017-2021 average in mid-February,

2月中旬，小麦的价格已经比2017到2021年平均水平高出49%，

have risen by another 30% since the invasion of Ukraine started on February 24th.

自2月24日俄乌冲突以来又上涨了30%。

Rabobank, a Dutch lender, reckons wheat prices could climb by another third.

荷兰合作银行(Rabobank)估计小麦价格还会再上涨三分之一。

But the damage to global food supply will extend far beyond the grain—and last longer than the war itself.

但这对全球粮食供应的破坏会远远超出粮食之外，而且比战争本身持续的时间还要长。

Together Russia and Ukraine export 12% of the calories traded worldwide.

俄罗斯和乌克兰出口的卡路里总量占全球总量的12%。

They rank among the top five exporters of many oilseeds and cereals, from barley and corn to sunflowers, consumed by humans and animals.

俄罗斯和乌克兰的油料种子和谷物出口排全球前五，包括人类和牲畜都要食用的大麦、玉米、向日葵。

来源：iyuba